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Stock Analysis
ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC. (ALK)
ALK
ALK · Industrials • Airlines
47.24 +3.05%
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52W Range Position
44%
LOWMIDHIGH
Trend
Constructive
Momentum
Neutral
Updated: 2026-07-31 11:40 UTC
WOI Investment Thesis
Constructive
Confirmation improves above 63.86. Holding above 46.72 keeps the current thesis intact.
⚖️
✓
Fundamentals
Moderate / Negative
✓
Price Structure
Constructive
•
Momentum
Neutral
×
Breakout Confirmation
Pending
Risk Level
Elevated
Analysis Scope
1Y Daily
Key Decision Levels
✓
Hold Above
Structure remains valid above support.
46.72
↗
Break Above
Confirmation improves above resistance.
63.86
🎯
Next Objective
Pattern-derived target if setup continues.
—
×
Thesis Break
Scenario weakens below invalidation.
Below 46.72
Recent Company Events
SEC VERIFIED
Latest material filings
JUL
21
●
Financial Results
HIGH
Alaska Air Group reports second quarter 2026 results
#1 in the industry in year-to-date on-time performance Expanded international service to include transatlantic flights from Seattle to Rome, London, Reykjavík Achieved single passenger service system for Alaska and Hawaiian and recognized employees with 75k Atmos Points for final major integration milestone Q3 RASM...
8-K Filing • SEC EDGAR
JUN
3
●
Management / Board
MEDIUM
ALK board and management update
Election of Directors On June 1, 2026, the Board of Directors of Alaska Air Group, Inc.
8-K Filing • SEC EDGAR
MAY
12
$
Debt Financing
HIGH
ALK debt financing update
(“ Alaska ”) issued and sold $500 million aggregate principal amount of 6.500% senior notes due 2031 (the “ Notes ”) pursuant to an Indenture dated as of May 12, 2026, by and between Alaska and U.S.
8-K Filing • SEC EDGAR
What's Driving ALK?
📈 Technical recovery is improving
Momentum is Neutral. Watch 63.86 for confirmation and 46.72 for structure risk.
💼 Business quality remains relevant
Fundamentals remain relevant. Check growth, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet quality.
⚠️ Key risk remains
Below 46.72
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Technical Signal
Technical Setup Active
✓
An active technical structure is present. Use trigger, target, stop and watch levels for context.
Downtrend Structure
Downtrend line not broken yet · score 0
Trigger
52.71
Invalidation
52.71
RSI(14)
50.3
◎
How to read this setup
From a roadmap perspective, the setup is boxed by support near 46.60 and resistance around 52.71. A cleaner push through resistance would improve continuation odds, while a loss of support would weaken the current thesis.
Price Chart
ALK — 1D Chart
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Valuation Snapshot (TTM)
Full valuation · Ratios use trailing twelve months
Updated 2026-07-30
Cash
Cash-flow pressure
TTM free cash flow is negative. P/FCF and FCF yield should be read with caution.
Market Cap
$5.3B
Company size
EV
$10.7B
Debt-adjusted value
P/E
72.1
Very high
P/S
0.4
Low sales multiple
P/B
1.4
Low book multiple
EV/Sales
0.7
Low sales multiple
EV/EBIT
48.2
Premium
P/FCF
-18.6
Not meaningful
FCF Yield
-5.38%
Cash return
Source: SEC TTM data via WOI valuation cache Not financial advice
Business Lens
Long-term structure remains supportive
Financial quality is mixed, with cash flow or balance sheet items requiring closer monitoring.
↗
Revenue Growth
Moderate
●
Profitability
Negative
≈
Cash Flow
Healthy
⚖
Balance Sheet
Manageable
💵 Revenue
3.30B
≈ Moderate
📈 Net Income
-193.00M
↘ Negative
🧮 EPS (Basic)
-1.69
↘ Negative
ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.
Industrials • Airlines
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