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Stock Analysis
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY)
FLY
FLY · Market data
20.33 +0.20%
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52W Range Position
8%
LOWMIDHIGH
Trend
Vulnerable
Momentum
Neutral
Updated: 2026-08-02 16:44 UTC
WOI Investment Thesis
Vulnerable
Watch confirmation and invalidation levels before acting.
⚖️
✓
Fundamentals
Insufficient / Negative
✓
Price Structure
Vulnerable
•
Momentum
Neutral
×
Breakout Confirmation
Pending
Risk Level
Moderate
Analysis Scope
1Y Daily
Key Decision Levels
✓
Hold Above
Structure remains valid above support.
—
↗
Break Above
Confirmation improves above resistance.
26.93
🎯
Next Objective
Pattern-derived target if setup continues.
—
×
Thesis Break
Scenario weakens below invalidation.
Below —
Recent Company Events
SEC VERIFIED
Latest material filings
JUN
2
●
Material Agreement
MEDIUM
FLY material agreement
On May 28, 2026, Firefly Aerospace Inc.
8-K Filing • SEC EDGAR
MAY
4
●
Financial Results
HIGH
Firefly Aerospace Announces First Quarter 2026 Financial Results
Firefly Aerospace (Nasdaq: FLY), a market leading space and defense technology company, today issued financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026.
8-K Filing • SEC EDGAR
What's Driving FLY?
📈 Technical recovery is improving
Momentum is Neutral. Watch 26.93 for confirmation and — for structure risk.
💼 Business quality remains relevant
Fundamentals remain relevant. Check growth, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet quality.
⚠️ Key risk remains
losing 18.16 would weaken the current structure.
Full Analysis Workspace
Technical Signal
Waiting for Confirmation
▲
No confirmed breakout yet. Watch the next level and momentum behavior.
RSI(14)
39.8
◎
How to read this setup
From a roadmap perspective, the setup is boxed by support near 18.16 and resistance around 26.91. A move through resistance would be needed to materially improve the chart, while a break of support would keep the pressure side dominant.
Price Chart
FLY — 1D Chart
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Valuation Snapshot (TTM)
Full valuation · Ratios use trailing twelve months
Updated 2026-07-31
Cash
Cash-flow pressure
TTM free cash flow is negative. P/FCF and FCF yield should be read with caution.
Market Cap
$3.3B
Company size
EV
$3.1B
Debt-adjusted value
P/E
-9.7
Not meaningful
P/S
17.6
Premium
P/B
2.9
Balanced
EV/Sales
16.6
Premium
EV/EBIT
-10.3
Not meaningful
P/FCF
-13.7
Not meaningful
FCF Yield
-7.31%
Cash return
Source: SEC TTM data via WOI valuation cache Not financial advice
Business Lens
Financial context is mixed
Financial quality is mixed, with cash flow or balance sheet items requiring closer monitoring.
↗
Revenue Growth
Insufficient
●
Profitability
Negative
≈
Cash Flow
Mixed
⚖
Balance Sheet
Strong
💵 Revenue
80.88M
≈ Insufficient
📈 Net Income
-96.68M
↘ Negative
🧮 EPS (Basic)
-0.61
↘ Negative
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
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